Welcome!

I am a Ph.D. candidate in Economics at Boston University, with research interests in macroeconomics and applied econometrics. I bring a strong background in central banking and have a solid command of data-driven tools and quantitative methods. My areas of expertise include economic forecasting, nowcasting, and econometric modeling.

Contact: martin22@bu.edu

Research

Publications

Real Dollarization and Monetary Policy in Peru.

with A. Contreras, Z. Quispe, and F. Regalado. Revista de Estudios Económicos (2017).

Working Papers

The impact of El Niño phenomenon in Peru.

with A. Contreras, F. Regalado, and K. Vasquez. Peruvian Economic Association (2017).

Linking historical GDP series by the expenditure approach and by economic sectors, 2007 base.

with J. Gutiérrez, R. Quineche, and C. Virreira. Banco Central de Reserva del Perú (2014).

Work in Progress

Breaking (Down) News: Using News Data for Economic Forecasting in Peru.

with G. Palacios and M. Saldarriaga.

Dynamic Labor Supply.

Experience

Head, Division of Economic Activity Indicators

Central Bank of Peru

Sep 2019 – Aug 2021

Led monthly macroeconomic surveys and GDP nowcasting using high‑frequency indicators.
Developed forecasting models for production, expenditure, and national accounts statistics.

Senior Analyst, Macroeconomic Models Division

Central Bank of Peru

Aug 2018 – Aug 2019

Conducted Bayesian estimation and impulse‑response analysis.
Built frameworks for short‑run inflation forecasting.
Developed trend‑cycle decompositions and DSGE models for policy analysis.

Analyst, Division of Economic Activity Indicators

Central Bank of Peru

May 2014 – Jul 2017

Led the 2007‑base GDP rebasing.
Compiled national accounts data.
Executed monthly macroeconomic surveys informing central‑bank decisions.

CV

Download the latest version of my curriculum vitae here.

Download CV